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Volume Summary
When you
study a chart of a major market index, such as for example the S&P
500, what you see is merely a historical summary of the various
prices the index traded at over a specific period of time. What you
don't see are the volume patterns the index displayed -
minute-by-minute. But what you don't see could hurt you!
Below, we provide several reasons why
we consider volume to be a trader's best friend:
-
Volume completes the market picture – trading on price action
alone means seeing only part of the overall picture;
Volume can help diagnose the health of an existing trend;
-
Volume can be used to anticipate shifts (reversals) in an index
or individual stock. When analyzed correctly, volume patterns
provide the key that lets you anticipate a market’s reversal
points, which allows you to place buy and sell orders close to
the actual turning points;
-
Volume is the prime indicator that reliably reflects shifts in
the balance between supply and demand;
- The
technical analysis of volume patterns is a basic - yet essential
- element of any market timing approach. For instance, volume
provides valuable clues about the intensity of a given price
movement (e.g., the strength or weakness of a particular trend);
-
Volume is invaluable in reflecting shifts in market sentiment.
Being able to anticipate upcoming sentiment shifts gives you an
invaluable trading advantage. If you are currently trading
without volume as your guide, you will likely not be alerted to
changes in sentiment until it is too late to act profitably on
this information - this can lead to costly trading mistakes;
-
Monitoring a stock’s or index’s intraday volume patterns can
reveal where it is being repeatedly bought, or sold, as the case
may be. For instance, a broad-based spike in the volume moving
average occurring towards the end of a rally often signals the
impending end of that move. If you were previously not aware of
such specific volume-price relationships, you will now start to
understand why we call volume a trader's best friend;
-
Unlike other indicators, volume patterns can be applied with
equal relevance to any particular timeframe you may choose to
observe and trade. Why is this so? Simply put, volume measures
market sentiment. Fortunately for us traders, human nature is
the one ever-present constant in the stock market. Never forget
that fact. Once you are able to control your own emotions
(particularly fear and greed) while trading, the knowledge of
volume as a market sentiment indicator will guide you reliably
and profitably. Now, you should really start to see why volume
is a trader's best friend.
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