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How to Use our
Commentaries
as an additional indicator:
You can use our commentaries as an additional
trading indicator to our existing trading system in order to
reduce trading risk.
Most professional traders
will make use of at least three independent indicators to come to a
final trading decision.
How to work with several
indicators:
-
You will not find a system that gives 100 percent correct results, nor an
analyst who could predict trends with 100 percent accuracy, just as you will
not find a publisher of news who will tell you 100 percent of the truth.
-
If a trader uses only one indicator (advisor), he is usually blinded
by this indicator (advisor). This results in "tunnel vision" and the
trader will never see beyond what that single indicator predicts.
-
If an additional
indicator can reduce trading risk and cut losses by even 5 percent, it is
definitely worth the price.
-
It is difficult for one trader to use several totally different
techniques to analyze the market. This is why many of them use the
results from several different analysts.
-
Every trading indicator has a certain level of accuracy. Sometimes in
order to define this level, a trader must watch this indicator for
several months.
-
The best results arise from indicators that are based on independent
forms of analysis. For example, news, market sentiment, and volume
are three totally different indicators.
-
Analyze the results of your indicators determine the current market
stage, then make your trading decision accordingly.
- Each indicator that you use should be assigned
coefficient that is based on the strength of that particular
indicator. For example, if our Market Outlook states that there is
a good chance the index will move lower in the mid-term, you should
assign something like a -7 to that indicator. But if the news
indicator is contrary and states with a great deal of certainty that
the market will move higher, then you assign a +7 to that indicator.
Which indicator should you follow? Well, volume tends to be much more
truthful than the news, so you may want to weight these indicators
and give the volume indicator 0.6 and the news indicator a 0.4
weighting. As a result of weighting, the volume indicator (0.6*-7) is
greater than the news indicator (0.4*+7), but the difference between
the two is not as large. In this scenario, you may want to cautiously
play down.
-
Be
aware of any free trading advice that you find on the internet;
deconstruct where the advice comes from and who may benefit from
giving you trading advice.
Example of using
several indicators.
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