Daily Market Outlook

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Frequently Asked Questions


Below, we have compiled the questions our subscribers most commonly ask about our trading system. We hope the following answers will help you better understand what we do and show you how you can improve your trading.

General Questions

We offer a wide range of subscriptions, which include monthly, quarterly or yearly subscription plans (Click Here for subscription rates).

Should you decide to subscribe to our services, billing will begin immediately upon completion of the subscription process (from our registration page). During the subscription process, you choose a user ID and a password. These will give you direct access to our members' area, where you can also read our most current Market Outlook.

You don't need to sign up, since you already have access to our market commentaries. However, you may wish to sign up to receive the commentaries by email everyday.

Our Market Outlook are always posted within two hours after the market closes, i.e., by 8:30 PM Eastern Standard Time (except on holidays and weekends). On rare occasions, a Market Outlook may be issued later due to extenuating circumstances. In some cases, we may provide an extended commentary on holidays and weekends. To stay current, it is best to check the commentaries daily.

Yes, after you register and log into our members' section, you will be able to configure your account to receive our Market Outlook by email everyday. This allows you to stay current at all times without having to log in!

Yes, you can have the Market Outlook sent to your cellular phone. Simply enter the email address for your cellular phone and the alerts will be sent to that address.

Yes, we keep an extensive archive of our previous commentaries, which can be found here. Our archive of Market Outlook was started on March 13, 2002 - the date we officially started publishing the commentaries online.

Technical Questions

We base our Market Outlook on an analysis of the intraday volume patterns of several US indexes.

MarketVolume's JavaVolume™ charting technology allows our analysts to make informed, but still somewhat subjective, decisions as to where the market is most likely headed in the mid- and long-term.

We base our Market Outlook on an analysis of several US indexes: S&P 500 (^SPX), Dow Jones Industrials (^DJI), Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) and Russell 2000 (^RUT). In some cases we may refer to the NYSE Composite index (^NYA) as well to other indexes if some worth mentioning activity is noted in these stock market sectors.

Keep in mind that this system also incorporates other forms of technical analysis.

Our analysis is based on the volume based technical indicators. We mainly monitor money flow to see who is dominant on the market (buyers or sellers) at the current moment and what is the flow's tendency - whether the number of buyers/ sellers is reducing or increasing. At the same time we monitor accumulation of selling (during the price decline) and buying (during the price advance) volume which helps us to spot periods when the market could be considered overbought or oversold and respectfully predisposed to the changes in the trend. In some cases we may refer in our outlook to the strong volume surges (if such witnessed) which would indicate unusual increase in trading activity which usually leads to the shift in the supply/demand balance on the market. In other cases we may refer to the critically low advance/decline readings (if such witnessed) in the NYSE Composite and S&P 500 indexes which are usually associated with with strongly oversold market conditions.

Our main technical indicators are Selling and Buying Volume oscillator, Market Volume Oscillator, Advance Decline Oscillators, and etc. All these indicators could be found at MarketVolume.com. Similar analysis could be perform with Chaikin Money Flow Index and Chaikin Accumulation and Distribution indicators. However, we give preference to the Selling & Buying Volume oscillator as it is less choppy, yet, still quite sensitive to the changes in sentiment.

Traditionally, majority of traders use price based technical indicators. However, there are no price movement without volume and there is no volume without price movement. A trend is always described by the change in price and by volume traded during this change in price. Furthermore, it is logical to analyze volume and price together. If you focus your attention on the price based indicators only, then your technical analysis will deliver the half of the picture only and you may risk to run into situation when by some unknown reasons the indicators you relayed upon stopped working.

Already a hundred of years ago, founders of DOW and Elliot Wave theories pointed on the importance of volume analysis in order to properly predict trend cycles. Only volume can help you to see what is going on behind the price action.

There are three main things about volume based technical analysis that, we believe, every trader should know and pay attention to:
a) Money Flow - helps you to see whether buyers or seller are dominant on the market and reveals whether the buying or selling pressure is increasing or reducing;
b) Accumulation of Buying and Accumulation of Selling Volume (also referred to as "Accumulation and Distribution") - helps you to see how strongly overbought or oversold analyzed security is;
c) Volume Surges - revels the periods when unusual trading activity took the place. As a rule such trading activity may lead to the shift in supply/demand balance when one of the group of traders (buyers or sellers) becomes exhausted.

We track advance decline index data for critically low advance decline readings in the NYSE composite index and S&P 500 index. There are many researches (confirmed by our personal monitoring) that suggest that such low advance/decline readings are usually associated with panic selling and could be noted at the bottom of a corrections. These advance/decline signals are quite reliable during the long-term bull markets and they help predict the bottoms of the corrections. Yet, these signals could be ignored during the recessions and stock market crashes, therefore we void referring to them during such periods.

All these indicators used in out outlook could be found at MarketVolume.com. Similar analysis could be perform with Chaikin Money Flow Index and Chaikin Accumulation and Distribution indicators. However, we give preference to the Selling & Buying Volume oscillator as it is less choppy, yet, still quite sensitive to the changes in sentiment.

You should be careful when you are looking for online providers of volume and advance/decline quotes for indexes and exchanges - not all online distributors of quotes have these data. In addition, when it comes to the volume analysis on intraday level, it is highly recommended to work with modulated volume data, otherwise your volume indicators could be disordered and they could generate fake signals. At the current moment MarketVolume.com is the solely owner of patented modulated volume technology.

Since few traders are familiar with volume-based technical analysis, we have defined all our commonly used terms and have provided links to these explanations from our Market Outlook. We believe the best way for you to become familiar with our trading system is to look through the commentary archive. We suggest you review at least the last few days of the archive before making any trading decision.

Trading Questions

Yes, our outlook is straightforward. It is either bullish or bearish or it could suggest side-way trading. In some cases, depending on the indicators' readings, the outlook could be uncertain or it could suggest the possibility of changes in the current trend. In this case we usually give recommendation on what to monitor in order to spot the possible changes in the sentiment.

Yes, we provide short-term outlook. As a rule our short-term outlook consists of two predictions where we suggest the possible trend (up or down) at the market open on the next trading session and overall market outlook for the next trading session.

Our short-tem predictions are based on the technical analysis if the 5-min (1 bar = 5 minutes), 15-min (1 bar = 15 minutes) and 30-min (1 bar = 5 minutes) charts. In some cases we may refer to the hourly (1 bar = 1 hour) charts.

Yes, we provide longer-term market outlook which is based on the analysis of hourly (1 bar = 1 hour) and daily (1 bar = 1 day) charts. We do not classify our mid- and long-term outlook as 6-month or 1-year trend but rather as a general market sentiment (trend) at the current moment. You have to understand that in some cases the market (indexes) may rally 10% up in 2 week and in some cases, the same 10% movement up could be spread over several months. In both cases this trend is reflected in our longer-term outlook.

No, we do not generate "Buy/Sell" signals. Our outlook could be rather considered as a guidance to the most possible trend development in the future which could be used to make a trading decision.

Generation of trading signals usually involves developing of entry and exit strategies, stop-loss strategy development, portfolio analysis, and etc. If we provide that than our service's cost would be at least 10 times higher.

Both! Our Market Outlook are based principally on an analysis of intraday volume, as well as other indicators. In our "outlook" section, we discuss the market looking several days (i.e., short-term), weeks (i.e., mid-term), and months (i.e., long-term) into the future.

Even if you don't trade index derivatives, but rather a particular group of securities, volume index analysis can be very useful in defining future trends. It is also beneficial in identifying the strength of a particular group of securities in which you have an interest. Most often, a particular stock will move in concert with the particular sector to which it belongs. If you know the volatility of the specific stock you are trading, you can predict how changes in the associated index will affect the stock.

You don't have to be a day trader in order to benefit from our Market Outlook. In the section of our commentaries entitled "Market Stage", you will discover what our analysts predict for the market in the long-term. In the section entitled "Market Status", you will see what our market outlook is over the mid-term. More...

Our service was not designed specifically to teach traders about volume-based technical analysis, but simply to deliver the results of that analysis in order to allow informed trading decisions. For those of you who really want to delve into the specifics of volume analysis, visit www.MarketVolume.com. This site includes an entire section on the topic called the "Chart School / Volume Tutorial". It is the best source of information to acquire the fundamentals of volume analysis. We strongly believe the more information and knowledge you possess, the better you will understand our system.

We invite you to try our system. Let us show you how our services will improve your trading. We are confident that once you are armed with the knowledge from our Market Outlook, you will significantly reduce your trading risk.

We hope that you give our system a chance so that we can show you how well our service will improve your trading. We are confident that with our Market Outlook you will reduce your trading risk by many orders of magnitude.

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The information on this site is provided for informational purposes only. The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice. You agree that any and all use of the information provided on this site is solely at your own risk and without recourse to the content providers.

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